Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 429.082918 487.551680 552.377732 629.809712 720.077132 822.334539 947.439363
2026-01-04 352.618579 432.099074 528.302146 654.291514 816.363423 1019.767171 1297.409462
2026-01-11 303.146264 390.196955 501.823092 657.339156 871.386030 1160.057462 1586.441990
2026-01-18 262.579080 351.114878 469.881766 643.668427 896.253774 1257.587029 1827.689541
2026-01-25 231.976199 320.249159 443.245888 630.911614 916.809085 1347.475899 2068.105664
2026-02-01 215.844858 306.999249 438.625740 647.606359 980.712962 1508.392896 2444.249462
2026-02-08 197.612205 288.299710 423.316425 645.182987 1013.103557 1622.481295 2761.223787
2026-02-15 181.184846 270.385937 406.872908 638.232804 1035.989971 1722.395392 3069.273002
2026-02-22 169.544568 258.553168 398.371817 642.619173 1077.601712 1859.303685 3469.975348
2026-03-01 156.410141 243.040141 382.268424 631.983925 1090.780930 1945.656839 3786.606668
2026-03-08 146.028400 231.017193 370.638237 627.525458 1114.049114 2053.418759 4167.151038
2026-03-15 133.482358 214.335602 349.610085 603.870790 1097.907927 2081.077693 4378.480662
2026-03-22 129.317713 211.683695 352.793172 625.522325 1173.604526 2309.027771 5100.246724
2026-03-29 125.916744 210.059794 357.629544 650.877045 1260.477989 2575.872002 5982.683107
2026-04-05 119.602259 202.717477 351.382209 653.831333 1300.973732 2747.248354 6667.434361
2026-04-12 111.681621 191.845496 337.640992 640.249932 1303.959441 2832.948838 7145.551441
2026-04-19 104.612669 182.003992 325.009296 627.570988 1307.190054 2919.620192 7648.550989
2026-04-26 101.653549 179.578124 326.347365 644.163334 1379.098497 3187.026742 8752.874501
2026-05-03 96.752675 173.098012 319.195606 641.754854 1406.127940 3345.121959 9568.414721
2026-05-10 91.760676 166.086981 310.417133 634.847337 1421.361213 3474.831817 10331.047684
2026-05-17 88.306279 161.830614 306.856475 639.206787 1465.017119 3689.865938 11448.732931
2026-05-24 83.646255 154.870834 297.194519 628.636756 1469.349393 3795.117060 12212.354702
2026-05-31 79.897549 149.498724 290.450495 624.205579 1489.150681 3949.272094 13209.159638